How to watch, predictions and all to know

MotoGP is now a third of the way through the season and heads to Mugello for the 2025 Italian Grand Prix.

Marc Marquez heads into the race off the back of a commanding performance in Aragon, where he led all sessions and won the race, and will likely want to repeat the feat at Ducati’s home turf.

However, he’s got a lot of competition from Italian and teammate Francesco Bagnaia, who will want to please the home crowd.

He’s been the man to beat at Mugello for the last three years, but had a tricky run of races after struggling with the feel of his bike at the front.

How to watch the 2025 Italian Grand Prix on TV?

You can watch the 2025 MotoGP Italian Grand Prix on TV in the UK through TNT Sports. Below are the times for each session in BST. 

Who will start from pole for the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?

Kyle Archer: Marc Marquez – Mugello could break its three-day attendance record in back-to-back years this week. Hordes of fans will even be heading for the Italian Grand Prix, hoping to see Francesco Bagnaia repeat his display from 2024 after the Ducati ace won the Sprint and the Grand Prix.

If Bagnaia is to repeat his performance from last term’s Italian GP, the Turin native may also have to repeat it from P2 on the grid. Marquez might have only scored pole position at Mugello in 2014 and 2019, but he will expect to be Ducati’s lead rider at the 2025 Italian GP.

Marquez already has five pole positions so far this season, only Yamaha’s Fabio Quartararo has denied him P1 on a grid yet. Quartararo fears Yamaha will get lost at Mugello, as well, as the Frenchman will not be able to exploit the advantage that the electronics on his M1 offer.

It will thus fall on Bagnaia to take the challenge to Marquez at Mugello for pole position for the Italian GP. But the Italian has only beaten the Spaniard in qualifying once so far this year at Silverstone and has been 0.419 seconds slower than his teammate in qualifying this year.

Who will win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?

Tyler Rowlinson: Francesco Bagnaia – Is now the time that the tide shifts at Ducati? Many will argue that Mugello is the perfect chance for Pecco Bagnaia to swing the momentum in his favour.

The Italian has won on home soil the past three years, making it one of his strongest circuits on the MotoGP calendar. And Mugello could not have come at a perfect time after he finally found a breakthrough on the GP25.

After months of complaining of no feeling on the bike, Ducati changed Bagnaia’s brake discs, which dramatically improved his comfort on the machine, particularly in cornering and front braking.

Bagnaia is more confident than ever with the GP25 after a solid ride at Aragon to P3 and an encouraging test. His teammate Marquez is still the rider to beat, but coming to a circuit that favours the Italian, this could be the weekend where Bagnaia triumphs on merit.

Who will be the biggest surprise of the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?

Shay Rogers: Pedro Acosta – KTM have quietly been building some momentum lately and it’s about time that Acosta finally scores his first podium for the factory team. Mugello is a demanding, high-speed track and their engine is built for top speed.

Expect the Spaniard to come into his own and take advantage of any mistakes made by his rivals. Conditions will play a factor too, with some warmer weather expected, but he’s had plenty of time to adjust to his new bike and find a good balance for most conditions.

Who will be the biggest disappointment of the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?

David Comerford: Enea Bastianini – Bastianini is already one of the biggest disappointments of 2025 as the lowest-ranking KTM in the championship on 15 points. But a poor weekend on home soil would be a new low for the axed Ducati rider. Bastianini has been alarmingly critical of Tech3 in public and already seems to be angling for an exit, a quarter of the way through his contract. The atmosphere is not conducive to results, and his struggles will continue in Mugello.